The Public Opinion Research Institute conducted a telephone survey on January 25-28 of the current year. According to the measurement, the level of potential electoral voter turnout for the parliamentary elections on March 19, 2023 is 53.3%. This is the total share of those who are determined to vote (39.0%) and are likely to vote (14.3%). This level of electoral voter turnout is generally the same in all groups, regardless of gender, age and financial status. The respondents were asked the following question: “If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, would you take part in it?”.
In total, 34.6% of respondents would rather not vote (11.5%) and do not intend (23.1%) to vote. The share of undecided is 12.1%.
Among those who intend to vote in the early parliamentary elections, 48.6% are determined to support the candidates from the AMANAT party. According to the survey, the threshold of 5% is currently being overcome by the parties “Auyl” (6.2%) and “Akzhol” (5.4%).
Other parties have yet to gain the support of the electorate: People's Party of Kazakhstan (4.8%), “Respublica” (3.6%), Nationwide Social Democratic Party (3.2%), “Baytaq” (2.8%). The share of respondents ready to vote “against all” was 2.6%. More than 1/5 of the respondents (22.8%) have not yet decided on their party preferences.
The majority of voters are in favor of political pluralism: for representation in the lower house of five or more parties – 27.8%, four – 6.6%, three - 16.8%, two - 12.0%.
The sociological research by telephone survey was conducted by the Public Opinion Research Institute from January 25 to 28 of the current year at the Institute’s own expense. The sample included 1,200 respondents over the age of 18 from 17 regions and cities of republican significance Astana, Almaty and Shymkent.
The error is ± 2.8%.
The survey was conducted with the official permission of the Central Election Commission in accordance with the Central Election Commission Notification No.ОСК-08-18/103И of January 24 , 2023
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